Community Analysis and Planning Techniques

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Rowman & Littlefield, 1990 - 262 páginas

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Great book. Clear, concise, and extremely well written.

Contenido

Extrapolation Technique An Introduction
3
Estimates Projections and Forecasts
4
Extrapolation Procedure
5
Endnotes
7
Alternative Extrapolation Curves
9
Geometric Curve
12
Parabolic Curve
17
Modified Exponential Curve
19
Evaluation
107
Endnotes
109
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES
111
Economic Analysis Techniques An Introduction
113
Economic Base Projection Model
115
Preliminary Considerations
117
Standard Industrial Classification System
122
Endnotes
123

Gompertz Curve
23
Logistic Curve
25
Endnotes
29
Selecting Appropriate Extrapolation Projections
33
Input Evaluation Procedures
35
Output Evaluation Procedures
42
Application of the Evaluation Procedures
44
Evaluation
45
Endnotes
48
THE COHORTCOMPONENT TECHNIQUE
49
CohortComponent Technique An Introduction
51
Population Cohorts
53
Mortality Component
55
Fertility Component
59
Migration Component
61
Endnotes
64
Mortality Component
65
Life Tables
66
Computing OneYear Survival Rates
71
Computing MultipleYear Survival Rates
73
Projecting Surviving Population
75
Projecting Mortality Rates
77
Endnotes
78
Fertility Component
81
Projecting Male and Female Births
83
Projecting Fertility Rates
86
Endnotes
88
Migration Component
89
Estimating TenYear Net Migration
90
Estimating FiveYear Net Migration
93
Projecting Future Net Migration
95
Endnotes
98
CohortComponent Projection Model
101
Selecting Appropriate Projections
104
Assumption and Location Quotient Approaches
125
Assumption Approach
126
Location Quotient Approach
128
Refinements to the Location Quotient Approach
134
Endnotes
139
Minimum Requirements Approach
139
Refinements to the Minimum Requirements Approach
143
Selecting Appropriate Basic Sector Estimates
148
Evaluation of the Alternatives
154
Endnotes
155
ConstantShare and ShiftShare Approaches
157
ConstantShare Approach
158
ShiftShare Approach
163
Evaluation
172
Endnotes
174
Economic Base Projection Model
177
ShortTerm Impact Analysis
178
Projecting Other Variables
181
Stability of the Multipliers
182
Evaluation
189
Endnotes
191
Appendices
193
CurveFittingExtrapolation Procedures
195
Geometric Curve
201
Parabolic Curve
205
Modified Exponential Curve
209
Gompertz Curve
216
Logistic Curve
224
Endnotes
230
Review of Logarithms
231
OBERS Industrial Groups and SIC Codes
233
Bibliography
237
Index
247
Derechos de autor

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Términos y frases comunes

Pasajes populares

Página 250 - Brodsky: The Economic Base of American Cities: Profiles for the 101 Metropolitan Areas over 250,000 Population Based on Minimum Requirements for 1960, Monograph no.

Acerca del autor (1990)

Richard Klosterman is professor in the department of geography and planning at the University of Akron.

Información bibliográfica